Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.155507 0.166682 0.178395 0.191613 0.206143 0.221663 0.239535
2025-08-03 0.133059 0.149581 0.168024 0.190261 0.216516 0.246735 0.284454
2025-08-10 0.117181 0.136505 0.159126 0.187846 0.223752 0.267717 0.326506
2025-08-17 0.104223 0.124742 0.149656 0.182597 0.225717 0.281277 0.360046
2025-08-24 0.094884 0.116122 0.142705 0.179075 0.228605 0.295350 0.395102
2025-08-31 0.087507 0.109130 0.136903 0.176044 0.231233 0.308649 0.430081
2025-09-07 0.082940 0.105280 0.134684 0.177313 0.239490 0.330240 0.479721
2025-09-14 0.076956 0.099032 0.128648 0.172555 0.238348 0.337524 0.507637
2025-09-21 0.071099 0.092538 0.121756 0.165892 0.233561 0.338424 0.524770
2025-09-28 0.066833 0.087959 0.117204 0.162213 0.232826 0.345380 0.552848
2025-10-05 0.065202 0.086954 0.117632 0.165919 0.243827 0.372403 0.620561
2025-10-12 0.063351 0.085498 0.117263 0.168298 0.252802 0.396886 0.687498
2025-10-19 0.061005 0.083255 0.115678 0.168793 0.258957 0.417649 0.752022
2025-10-26 0.058428 0.080547 0.113248 0.167784 0.262520 0.434306 0.811733
2025-11-02 0.055818 0.077650 0.110351 0.165780 0.264124 0.447466 0.866544
2025-11-09 0.052855 0.074069 0.106180 0.161334 0.260905 0.450856 0.899786
2025-11-16 0.050447 0.071222 0.103005 0.158342 0.260050 0.458783 0.945358
2025-11-23 0.048309 0.068690 0.100192 0.155762 0.259695 0.467616 0.994955
2025-11-30 0.047091 0.067531 0.099519 0.156844 0.266366 0.491934 1.089941
2025-12-07 0.044925 0.064777 0.096092 0.152789 0.262622 0.493198 1.122845
2025-12-14 0.042573 0.061639 0.091895 0.147102 0.255185 0.485446 1.128874
2025-12-21 0.040846 0.059443 0.089175 0.143958 0.252645 0.488552 1.167509
2025-12-28 0.040391 0.059281 0.089861 0.147125 0.263309 0.523601 1.311999